The Formula 1 season heads to Mexico City, where Kimi Antonelli stands on the precipice of becoming the youngest world champion in the sport's history. His dominant victory in Austin extended his substantial lead over George Russell to 123 points in the championship standings. A ninth-place finish or higher in Mexico City will secure the title for the 20-year-old Italian.
The Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez circuit, situated over 2,200 meters above sea level, presents a unique technical challenge. The rarefied air impacts aerodynamic grip, cooling systems, and traction, particularly in slower sections.
Our latest power rankings assess which drivers are in the best form heading into Mexico, considering recent performance, raw speed, car extraction, momentum, and circuit suitability. Here are the top 10 rankings and race predictions:
- Pierre Gasly (Alpine)
Form: Singapore P11, Austin P10. Championship: P10. Gasly secured points in Austin despite a collision with Ollie Bearman that cost him downforce. He believes P9 was achievable without the damage and a slow pit stop. While Alpine lacks outright pace, Gasly remains adept at capitalizing on opportunities. - George Russell (Mercedes)
Form: Singapore P9, Austin P8. Championship: P2. Russell's recent results are marred by misfortune, including an engine failure in Malaysia and a grid penalty in Singapore. His pace in Austin was described as "rubbish" by the driver, with Mercedes acknowledging issues with their latest update. Russell may face pressure from third place in the standings. - Liam Lawson (Racing Bulls)
Form: Singapore P7, Austin P9. Championship: P9. Three consecutive points finishes bolster Lawson's prospects for a future seat. He secured P9 in Austin despite a persistent software issue, with the team's recent upgrade seemingly improving car pace. Lawson has consistently converted midfield speed into points. - Oscar Piastri (McLaren)
Form: Singapore P5, Austin P7. Championship: P7. Piastri has maintained a consistent run of results, but McLaren currently lacks the pace to challenge for higher positions. He demonstrated strong performance on hard tires in Austin, fending off George Russell for approximately 30 laps. Finding the optimal car setup in Mexico City is expected to be challenging. - Lando Norris (McLaren)
Form: Singapore P4, Austin P5. Championship: P6. Norris recovered from a difficult qualifying to briefly run second in Austin, ultimately finishing fifth, which he felt was the maximum achievable. He believes McLaren cannot match the pace of their rivals. Mexico holds positive memories for Norris, who secured a dominant victory there last year. - Isack Hadjar (Red Bull)
Form: Singapore P10, Austin P6. Championship: P8. Hadjar has shown stronger pace than his results indicate. Power unit and gearbox issues hampered his Singapore weekend, yet he recovered to P10 from the pit lane. In Austin, he qualified third but faced clutch and technical problems during the race, finishing P6. He needs a trouble-free weekend to showcase his potential. - Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)
Form: Singapore P6, Austin P4. Championship: P3. After a strong P4 in Austin, Hamilton is showing improved form. He was closing on Max Verstappen late in the race, with a Virtual Safety Car potentially costing Ferrari a double podium. Despite the SF-26's straight-line performance weaknesses, Ferrari's pace allows them to compete at the front. - Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)
Form: Singapore P2, Austin P2. Championship: P5. Leclerc has been in impressive form, securing consecutive second-place finishes. Ferrari's recent upgrades have provided a sustained performance boost and restored his confidence in the car. Another podium finish in Mexico is a strong possibility. - Max Verstappen (Red Bull)
Form: Singapore P1, Austin P3. Championship: P4. Although out of championship contention, Verstappen's recent resurgence was notable. He arrived in Austin after wins in Malaysia and Singapore, qualifying second. However, a poor start, debris damage, and technical issues compromised his race. Verstappen returns to Mexico, a circuit where he has achieved five previous victories. - Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)
Form: Singapore P3, Austin P1. Championship: P1. Antonelli is on the verge of clinching the championship. After finishing second in Malaysia and third in Singapore despite braking issues, he delivered a near-perfect weekend in Austin, taking pole and winning by 13 seconds. He requires only two points in Mexico to make history.
Mexico City Podium Predictions:
- Kimi Antonelli: His assertive driving and strategic brilliance secured his Austin victory. With no pressure to win in Mexico, Antonelli is expected to continue exceeding expectations.
- Max Verstappen: His five previous wins in Mexico highlight his strong affinity for the circuit. Red Bull remains a significant threat despite a challenging weekend in Austin.
- Charles Leclerc: Back-to-back second-place finishes underscore Leclerc's strong late-season form. Ferrari's recent performance gains position him well for a third consecutive podium.